California reports more than 53,000 new cases. According to the Department of Public Health, it is "significantly higher than the prior few days in part due to the implementation of an auto-processing feature." The true comparable number is about 39,000 -- still high.
Covid-2019
Covid-2019
Wednesday, December 16, 2020
New in "Recommended Reading" -- a metastudy in the Journal of the American Medical Association showing that asymptomatic cases of Covid-19 are virtually not contagious.
Covid-2019
Tuesday, December 15, 2020
Hard to know where prudent inquiry ends and fear-mongering begins. But now, with the first inoculations with the new Pfizer vaccine, the stories about it being unsafe are coming out of the woodwork.
Covid-2019
Monday, December 14, 2020
From a global perspective, the Covid-19 crisis hasn't really gotten any worse by the numbers for the last month. But it hasn't gotten any better, either.
Covid-2019
Sunday, December 13, 2020
The modelers at the University of Washington's IMHE have lowered their US mortality estimate by 36,000 (through Q1-2021). They see cases and hospitalizations rolling over in the beleaguered Midwest, and they are surprised by the rapid availability of Pzifer's vaccine.
Covid-2019
Saturday, December 12, 2020
Covid-19 new fatalities world-wide: 12,361. Covid-19 new fatalities China: zero. One of those numbers is definitely wrong. But actually that makes the other one wrong too, by the same amount.
Covid-2019
Friday, December 11, 2020
The virus continues to confuse and confound. Look at our charts of neighbors France and Germany. Why have new cases collapsed in France, but made new highs in Germany? Are their populations or policies or positions all that different?
Covid-2019
Thursday, December 10, 2020
US fatalities make new highs, but cases don't. This is the inevitable result of the time lag between infections, which increased sharply over the prior weeks, and death. Fatalities are a more certain indicator of the presence of the virus in a population, but cases -- while less reliable -- are at least a leading indicator, not a lagging one.
Covid-2019
Wednesday, December 9, 2020
US cases and fatalities rise to flirt with new highs, but not quite. If Brits can get the vaccine, don't you think it's time for the Yanks to get it too?
Covid-2019
Tuesday, December 8, 2020
Another decent day, at least by the standards of the winter wave. Cases down in every continent. Many improving trends in cases and test-positivity rates in individual US states -- there were none three weeks ago.