Labor market metrics mostly look like mid-2012 at this point -- three years of recovery in three months.
US Jobs
US Jobs
Friday, August 7, 2020
A headline beat, but mixed internals. Job-finding probability falls, separation probability rises -- both slight, but should be the other direction.
US Jobs
Friday, June 5, 2020
OK, the data's a little crazy. But we told you -- here comes the V-shaped recovery.
US Jobs
Friday, March 6, 2020
A huge beat, on top of big upward revisions. At least when you die from the virus you'll have a job.
US Jobs
Friday, January 10, 2020
After big beats in October and November, it was time for a little miss -- which is not confirmed by other labor data.