Covid-2019 - 2021-08-30

Date: 
Tuesday, August 31, 2021
Summary: 

It's hard to see in the aggregate new-case numbers, but our leading indicators just get better and better: we're up to 25 US states in declining test-positivity trajectories, and 6 in declining case trajectories. Our most-reliable lagging indicator, days-to-double fatalities, is still rising, meaning the growth rate of fatalities is sub-exponential (and this indicator in the US is better than the world on average, by far).