Covid-2019 - 2020-09-20

The media is focused on the imminent attainment of 200,000 US fatalities. But it should be remembered that the world case fatality rate has more than halved from a peak of 7.2% in late April to 3.1% today -- and falling every day. This is a cumulative calculation, so the instantaneous fatality rate (which is impossible to calculate directly) must be even lower than 3.1%.