Covid-2019 - 2020-07-15

Arizona's case curve is finally beginning to flatten, approaching New York's level of just above 2 per cent of population. Its case-fatality rate has turned upward, but the mortality curve has already flattened out at about one quarter of New York's level. It's been a bad outbreak to be sure, but not at all a replay of New York. The other sun-belt hot spots are doing even better. Yesterday's media reports about Moderna's vaccine trial were conflicting. Read for yourself the original research in "Recommended Reading" -- the "adverse reactions" were trivialities.