Not a Big Bang, But It Could Work
Business credit languishes in the euro area, but there's a better solution than negative rates.
Business credit languishes in the euro area, but there's a better solution than negative rates.
This can't go on. Consumption tracks 2012's sluggish trend, while disposable income falls.
The BOJ can't have both higher inflation and lower yields -- but that's making a buyable dip.
Draghi risks recovery, and his reputation, by not actually doing "whatever it takes."
By Bernanke's own metric, the labor market just got worse. How can the Fed taper now?
The BOJ wisely sticks to its strategy -- higher JGB yields mean that it's working.
Rising Treasury yields may be saying the Fed doesn't need so much foam on the runway.
One dissent over inflation risk. Another over deflation risk. And by the way, no tapering.
Until the German elections, Bundesbank political leverage keeps euro area growth on hold.
Threats in credit markets, and weak data, make it unlikely the Fed will taper as planned.