Earnings to Economy: "No Recession"
One company at a time, the forward consensus isn't worried about the latest crisis du jour.
One company at a time, the forward consensus isn't worried about the latest crisis du jour.
There's still no evidence whatsoever of housing contagion, and lots more evidence of inflation.
The Fed is letting 5% of the economy make 100% of its policy decisions.
After a dreary winter, the economic bears may have to stay in hibernation.
The two forces most likely to derail the economy -- the Fed and the Democratic congress -- have both put themselves on the sidelines.
Bonds have realized that the Fed isn't watching retails sales -- it's watching jobs.
A Democratic congress finds a way to keep the globalization train on the track.
Bond bulls are pummeled by evidence of reaccelerating growth, and grasp at statistical straws of supposedly benign inflation.
It's not the economy, stupid. For now, Democrats have no reason to rock the growth boat.
For four years, this expansion got no respect. What happens to stocks when it finally does?