Correction, Not Crisis
Politics and policy have paused Europe's rally -- but this is not a return to the bad old days.
Politics and policy have paused Europe's rally -- but this is not a return to the bad old days.
Markets now see the ECB is still highly accommodative, and Ireland's ELA comes to an end.
Not so much. A "trillion in deficit reduction" is really only a $109 billion one-off spending cut.
Italy's byzantine election laws sow uncertainty. Berlusconi is a tail risk, but not a fat one.
Stocks are vulnerable to correction because they're neither a value nor a growth proposition.
Abe picks doves and interventionists -- despite G-20 pressure, he has followed through.
An uprising of populism is a blow to Italy's growth, but not an existential threat to the euro.
Fiscal cliff, debt ceiling, sequesters and the continuing resolution -- done! But now what?
The ECB hints at a rate cut -- but admits it would be ineffective. It probably won't happen.
A headline surprise hides slowing improvement in unemployment, and stays the Fed's hand.