US CPI/PPI - 2016-01-20
On the January FOMC
Jobs strong, markets weak. It means labor statistics look backward, markets look forward.
The Moral Narratives of Economists
Oil: Priced for Perfection in an Imperfect World
A flood from Iran, a stable Middle East, crashing breakevens, collapsing demand. Dream on.
Is This 2016, or 2008?
As we test the August lows, capitulation is in the air, from Soros to Summers to Bullard.
On the December Jobs Report
Jobs strong, markets weak. It means labor statistics look backward, markets look forward.
2016: Two Charts, Six Words, One Man
The New Year is going to start out rough. And then there’s Donald Trump.
On the December FOMC
The funds rate is hiked, but the dots go down. It’s a mistake, but at least a gentle one.