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Most Recent Commentary

Trump Can Have Tariff Revenues or Re-Shoring, Not Both
Donald L. Luskin
RealClear Markets
Monday, September 15, 2025

Most Recent Media Appearance

Another Nice Surprise for the U.S. Economy
Wall Street Journal
Monday, January 26, 2026

Trend Macrolytics responds to the news in a note to clients that emphasizes the value of businesses investing in capital expenditures, known as capex:

New orders for non-defense capital goods (ex-aircraft) makes a new all-time high. Orders are the precursor of capex. Capex is the precursor of growth. We’re in a new productivity supercycle. It’s official.